UC Davis set for first Big Sky season

NCAA Football Betting Lines

01/28/2012 - Davis, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - UC Davis football is set to enter a new era in 2012 with eight Big Sky Conference games as well as a visit to San Jose State as part of an 11-game schedule.

The Aggies are joining the Big Sky from the Great West Football Conference, which disbanded after the 2011 season.

Bob Biggs, who will retire following this 20th season as UC Davis' head coach, will watch his team kick off the campaign with three non-conference games. The Aggies will host Azusa Pacific in their opener on Sept. 1.

That will be followed by a trip to FBS member San Jose State on Sept. 8. The Aggies pulled a 14-13 upset at San Jose State in 2010.

UC Davis' final non-conference game will be at South Dakota State on Sept. 15.

The rest of the Aggies' season will be Big Sky games, starting at Cal Poly, their rival from the Great West which also is joining the Big Sky, on Sept. 22.

UC Davis' conference home games will be against Weber State (Sept. 29), Montana State (Oct. 6) on Homecoming, Portland State (Oct. 27) and Sacramento State (Nov. 17) in the 59th annual Causeway Classic. The Aggies hold a 41-18 advantage in that all-time series.

The Aggies also will travel to Big Sky foes Idaho State (Oct. 13), Northern Arizona (Oct. 20) and Eastern Washington (Nov. 10).

"Each week it will be fun for our fans to not only follow the results of our games, but also the results for the rest of the Big Sky Conference as each will have meaning in conference standings and playoff implications," Biggs said. "We have missed being in a strong conference affiliation with recognized opponents for decades and this opportunity will just add to the excitement of Aggie football."

2012 UC Davis Football Schedule

Sept. 1, Azusa Pacific

Sept. 8, at San Jose State

Sept. 15, at South Dakota State

Sept. 22, at Cal Poly*

Sept. 29, Weber State*

Oct. 6, Montana State* (Homecoming)

Oct. 13, at Idaho State*

Oct. 20, at Northern Arizona*

Oct. 27, Portland State*

Nov. 10, at Eastern Washington*

Nov. 17, Sacramento State*

* - Big Sky Conference game

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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